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Real Madrid vs Liverpool: Champions League Predictions

This year’s Champions League final game is getting closer and the rivalry between the two major European clubs will reach the redline. 

Four years after Ramos’s controversial foul, it looks like Salah is ready to serve his revenge cold. Many things have changed since that final and Liverpool is now a big favorite. 

Still, we should never write off the super-experienced Los Blancos, who were clinically dead three times this year but eventually returned as winners.

Past Meetings

So far, the two teams have played against each other eight times but if we look at the last five meetings, Real Madrid has won four matches. Of course, this includes the 2018 final game, as well as the 2020/2021 Champions League Quarter Finals, when the Spanish team won relatively easily, with a 3-1 home win and 0-0 away draw.

Real Madrid vs Liverpool Last Five Meetings:

  • 22 Oct 2014 – Liverpool 0-3 Real Madrid- UEFA Champions League
  • 04 Nov 2014 – Real Madrid 1-0 Liverpool – UEFA Champions League
  • 26 May 2018 – Liverpool 1-3 Real Madrid – UEFA Champions League
  • 06 Apr 2021 – Real Madrid 3-1 Liverpool – UEFA Champions League
  • 14 Apr 2021 – Liverpool 0-0 Real Madrid – UEFA Champions League

Road To Final: Liverpool

The Reds have qualified for the finals much easier than Los Blancos. The group phase was a pure routine, with six wins in six games and a maximum of 18 points. 

The second round started with Inter Milan, which has been the only team that defeated Liverpool in this calendar year so far. However, that was a minimal 0-1 loss, which wasn’t enough for the Italian team to make up the 0-2 loss in the first leg.

The quarter-finals crossed Merseyside Reds with Benfica and after a real festival of goals, the team from England won 6-4 on aggregate.

Finally, the semi-final phase. It all started well for Liverpool and the first leg at Enfield ended 2-0 for the Reds. However, Villareal FC started well in the second game and had a 2-0 lead after the first half. 

Still, the second half was a completely different story and the final result was 3-2 for the Reds, which means 5-2 on aggregate.

Road To Final: Real Madrid

Real Madrid came to the finals in a much harder way. While the group phase ended very well, with five wins and just one loss, troubles in the second round started right away. 

30 minutes before the end of the second leg, the Los Blancos were two goals down against PSG, which was one of the biggest favorites to win the title. However, Benzema scored a magical hat trick in just 18 minutes and led his team to the quarter-finals.

This stage was even more complicated. After a great away game in London against Chelsea and a 3-1 lead, the thing didn’t start well in the second leg. 

The London Blues scored three goals at Santiago Bernabeu but Benzema and friends created another thriller in the final moments of the game and scored the equalizer ten minutes before the end of regular time. In extra-time, the French striker once again scored the winning goal and the Spanish team was in the semi-finals.

Another festival of goals happened in the semi-finals. This time, the 13-time Champions League winner faced Manchester City, arguably the toughest possible opponent. Guardiola’s side won the first leg 4-3, so everyone was ready for another thriller in Madrid. 

However, the second leg didn’t start well for the Spanish team. The Manchester Blues were a way better team and eventually scored a goal in the second half. However, the Royal club once again showed its incredible mental strength and scored two goals in the last two minutes. The game went overtime and once again, Benzema took the main role and scored the winning goal from a penalty spot.

Real Madrid vs Liverpool: Predictions, Odds, Potential Issues

If we look at what bookies say, Liverpool is a pretty big favorite. That makes a lot of sense, especially if we consider the way this team has been playing in the last several months. 

As we already mentioned, they were defeated just once in this calendar year but even that defeat against Inter Milan led them to the next round. In the Premier League, the last time they were beaten was way back in December, against Leicester City.

On the other hand, the Spanish team wasn’t all that dominant but still managed to win the domestic league relatively easily. 

After all the troubles in the Champions League, as well as the form inconsistency, there’s a good reason why Liverpool is the favorite.

Still, there are a few things that go in favor of Real Madrid. As we already mentioned, they have already won Primera Division, so manager Carlo Ancelotti can rest key players for the final. 

On the other hand, things in the Liverpool squad aren’t all that great. Reds have just ended their FA Cup campaign but there are two more important games in Premier League. As there is still a chance to catch Manchester City, we suppose that Jurgen Klopp will have to use his best players in those games.

There’s no doubt that some players are exhausted from the long season but the real problem is that the two most important players are currently injured. 

We are talking about Mo Salah, who is the team’s best goalscorer, and about Virgil van Dijk, who is one of the best center-backs in the world. We presume that the German manager will have to rest them for the finals.

So, what do the odds say? According to them, Liverpool is the favorite, as most bookies give around 1/1 (2.00) for the English team. 

On the other hand, chances for the Spanish team to win are usually around 11/4 (3.75), while the same odds are offered for those who believe that the result after 90 minutes will be a draw.

If you plan to bet on Liverpool winning the Champions League (within 90 minutes or after extra time or penalties), the odds are 5/8 (1.62). On the other hand, the odds for Real Madrid winning the competition are 20/13 (2.54).

Liverpool vs Real Madrid Odds (source: Foxbonus)

After 90 MinutesFractional OddsDecimal Odds
Liverpool Wins1/12.00
Real Madrid Wins11/43.75
Champions League WinnerFractional OddsDecimal Odds
Real Madrid20/132.54
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