Study projects which three teams will win the EFL playoffs

A recent study by BettingOdds.com projects which three teams will go and win the EFL playoffs and earn promotion up a league.

The end-of-season showdown event gets underway next week with twelve teams battling it out across three divisions for the right to seal their place in a higher division for next season.

Brentford, Bournemouth, Swansea and Barnsley are all fighting for the chance to join Norwich and Watford in the Premier League.

In League One, Blackpool, Sunderland, Oxford and Lincoln are hoping for promotion into the Championship. And in League Two, Morecambe, Tranmere, Forest Green and Newport will be competing to move into the third tier.

No doubt many pundits will be having their say on who they think will come out on top, but a new study has come up with the three Wembley ‘winners’ using analytical data.

It reads: “We at BettingOdds.com have analysed the head-to-head records of all sides competing in the Championship, League One and League Two play-offs this season to determine which three sides from the 12 teams involved will be promoted from their individual leagues.

“The projection determines that Swansea, Sunderland and Forest Green Rovers will all be promoted from the Championship, League One and League Two respectively.

“The method we used to project the play-off winners was as follows:

“- For all first and second legs of the play-off semi-finals we analysed the all-time head-to-head league records between each competing side at the home team’s stadium for each respective leg.

“- We then added together each side’s points-per-game record as both the home and away side to reveal the aggregate score, with the victor advancing to the play-off final.

“- To determine the winner of the final, we analysed the two competing sides’ all time head-to-head record in the league and play-offs against one another and the promoted side was the team with the best points-per-game record.

“The results are as follows…

Championship

Bournemouth vs Brentford

Championship Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Bournemouth 1.75 – 1.04 Brentford

Championship Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Brentford 1.73 – 0.9 Bournemouth

Final Aggregate PPG:

Bournemouth 2.65 – 2.77 Brentford 

Barnsley vs Swansea

Championship Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Barnsley 1.8 – 0.94 Swansea

Championship Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Swansea 2.26 – 0.63 Barnsley

Final Aggregate PPG:

Barnsley 2.43 – 3.2 Swansea 

Championship Play-off Final

Brentford 1.33  – 1.4 Swansea

League One

Oxford United vs Blackpool

League One Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Oxford United 1.59 – 1.24 Blackpool

League One Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Blackpool 1.88 – 1 Oxford United

Final Aggregate PPG:

Oxford United 2.59 – 3.12 Blackpool

Lincoln City vs Sunderland

League One Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Lincoln City 1.4 – 1.4 Sunderland

League One Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Sunderland 1.6 – 1 Lincoln City

Final Aggregate PPG:

Lincoln City 2.4 – 3 Sunderland

League One Play-off Final

Blackpool 1.23 – 1.48 Sunderland

League Two

Newport County vs Forest Green

League Two Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Newport County 0.33 – 2.33 Forest Green

League Two Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Forest Green 0.5 – 2 Newport County

Final Aggregate PPG:

Newport County 2.33 – 2.83 Forest Green 

Tranmere vs Morecambe

League Two Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Tranmere 2 – 1 Morecambe

League Two Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Morecambe 0.33 – 2.33 Tranmere 

Final Aggregate PPG:

Tranmere 4.33 – 1.33 Morecambe

League Two Play-off Final

Forest Green 1.67  – 1.17 Tranmere

Now you have seen a study which projects the three teams who will win the EFL playoffs, what do you make of it?

If you fancy backing this with a bet, then head to Sky Bet, who are offering odds of 51/1 for those three sides to earn promotion.

The playoffs begin on Monday the 17th of May, with all three finals taking place on successive days over the Spring Bank Holiday weekend.

Be sure to return to our site as we take a look at what Sky Sports pundits David Prutton has to say on the upcoming playoff fixtures.

SKY BET ODDS TO WIN EACH LEAGUE’S PLAYOFFS

CHAMPIONSHIP

Brentford – 7/4
Bournemouth – 9/4
Barnsley – 7/2
Swansea – 4/1

LEAGUE ONE

Sunderland – 13/8
Blackpool – 5/2
Oxford – 11/4
Lincoln – 10/3

LEAGUE TWO

Newport – 9/4
Morecambe – 5/2
Tranmere – 5/2
Forest Green – 3/1

Who can you see winning the EFL playoffs? Let us know via our social media pages! Would love to hear what you have to say…