What is every Premier League clubs’ best and worst possible final positions? We take a look at all the probabilities from top four to relegation.
@Experimental361 (aka Ben Mayhew) and Sky Sports have come together and simulated every possible result from the remaining 92 games and calculated each club’s range of possible final league positions – in addition to probabilities for each standing.
How does it work? As mentioned by Sky, each club’s attacking and defensive strength is rated using an expected goals model, which measures the quality of chances they create and allow.
These ratings were then used to simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times to measure the probability of each club finishing in each league position.
TOP FOUR PROBABILITIES
LEICESTER – 95.7%
CHELSEA – 63.5%
MAN UTD – 27.3%
WOLVES – 8.2%
SHEFFIELD UTD – 3.1%
TOTTENHAM – 2.0%
ARSENAL – 0.2%
NORWICH – 95.0%
ASTON VILLA – 69.9%
BOURNEMOUTH – 63.4%
WATFORD – 32.3%
WEST HAM – 20.4%
BRIGHTON – 16.4%
SOUTHAMPTON – 1.1%
NEWCASTLE – 1.5%
Take a look below at every Premier League clubs’ best and worst possible final positions in a table…
What is the latest on the restarting of the Premier League season?
Premier League clubs hope to give their players the go-ahead to return to training in small groups this week.
The league had previously identified 12 June for matches to possibly start again, but there is now an expectation this will need to be pushed back.
A Premier League statement added: “Strict medical protocols of the highest standard will ensure everyone returns to training in the safest environment possible.
“The health and wellbeing of all participants is the Premier League’s priority, and the safe return to training is a step-by-step process.
“Full consultation will now continue with players, managers, clubs, the PFA [Professional Footballers’ Association] and LMA [League Managers’ Association] as protocols for full-contact training are developed.”
All Premier League clubs carried out coronavirus tests on Sunday and Monday and the Premier League announced on Tuesday that six players out of 748 tested positive, meaning they have to self isolate for seven days and couldn’t train with their teammates.
One player, Adrian Mariappa, and two staff at Watford and Burnley assistant manager Ian Woan are among six positive Premier League tests for coronavirus.
“It was a big surprise because I haven’t really left the house,” Mariappa said to the Telegraph
“Apart from some exercise and the odd walk with the kids, I’ve mainly just been homeschooling and keeping fit.
“My lifestyle is very quiet, certainly no parties or going out or anything, so I really don’t know how I got it.”
He revealed that he had no symptoms and felt “as fit as ever”.
He added: “It’s quite scary how you can feel absolutely fine and not really have left the house, and yet still get the virus.
“If it wasn’t for the fact I had gone back to training and had this test, then I’d never have found out that I had the virus and I would just be getting on with things as normal. That’s obviously quite a strange thought.”Like what the Fan Banter have on offer? Sign up for more EPL notifications!