
“Premier League” Licensed Under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0
We are officially past the halfway point of the Premier League season. Oh, how time flies, huh? And with more than 50 percent of the schedule in the books, it’s time to peer into the crystal ball and figure out how this season is going to end.
Which club wins it all? Who is getting relegated? So on and so forth.
Yet, while we’ll take a look at all the most popular categories, we will also be journeying off the beaten path, forecasting a couple of less common outcomes. These are the type of predictions for which only the best betting websites will have odds if you are looking to place a wager. Most of all, though, they are equal parts pertinent and fun.
Enough chitchat. Let’s dust off the ol’ crystal ball and have a look into the future.
Who Will Win The Premier League?
If you will recall at the start of the season, both Liverpool and Manchester City opened as favorites to win it all. Things have changed.
Sure, either club can still take home the trophy. But Liverpool’s chances feel increasingly slim. Their influx of draws isn’t doing enough for them in the standings.
Manchester City, of course, remains in the thick of it all. Whether they can take down the league-leading Arsenal is a separate matter.
According to ESPN analytics, Arsenal do not just pace the field in total points. They are also the likeliest team to rack up the most points for the rest of the season. Even if you’re not comfortable with the latter projection, a six-point lead in the standings this deep into the schedule provides enough of a cushion to get on board.
We understand if you’re a bit cagey. Arsenal has not won the title since 2003—more than two decades ago. Try to get past it by looking at any predictive model you can find. Virtually all of them will tell you Arsenal has a 75-plus percent chance of winning it all.
Which Clubs Are Getting Relegated?
Truth be told, we do not even need a functional crystal ball for this one. The bottom three Premier League teams all get fast-tracked to relegation, and there’s not much competition for who will land in the win-loss gutter.
The Wolverhampton Wanderers, Burnley, and West Ham United currently populate the bottom of the barrel. And no one else is close to touching them.
Nottingham Forest currently sit fourth from the bottom, and they are at least seven points ahead of the aforementioned three.
So, yeah, go ahead and pencil in Wolverhampton, Burnley and West Ham for relegation.
Who Will Finish as the Premier League’s Top Goal-Scorer
The daredevil in us wants to take Brentford’s Igor Thiago. He has been lighting it up this season—so much so that could feasibly land a spot with Brazil’s World Cup team.
Still, it is tough to argue with the body of work Erling Haaland is delivering for Manchester United. Not only does he have a four-goal lead on the top spot at this writing, but he’s reaching the opposition box seemingly at will.
So far, the 25-year-old striker is averaging over 6.3 touches in the opposition box per match. When you consider that volume against his on-target accuracy from that area, it is hard to envision him squandering such a commanding midseason lead.
Who Will Lead Everyone In Assists?
Now this one is interesting.
Five players currently have at least five assists on the season: Bruno Fernandes of Manchester United (first), Rayan Cherki of Manchester City (second), Jack Grealish of Everton (third) and Sunderland’s Granit Xhaka and the Spurs’ Mohammed Kudus, both of whom are tied for fourth place.
Most are going to default to Fernandes or Cherki. Understandably so. But we find ourselves by Cherki’s teammate, Jeremy Doku.
If not for an injury that cost him a few weeks, the 23-year-old winger would be far higher up the assist ranks. And given the sheer volume with which Manchester City moves the ball, he should have a real chance at bridging the four-assist gap currently separating from the top of the leaderboard.
Which Manager Will Get Fired Next?
Manchester United went rogue and fired Ruben Amorim at the start of January. Rumors of discord between him and C-Suite were running rampant, and it culminated in his exit.
This raises the question: Who’s most likely to join him in?
Sussing out potential candidates isn’t particularly hard. Nuno Espirito Santo of Nottingham Forest is a favorite among many, with the club closer to relegation territory than they’re supposed to be. Others have also nominated Scott Parker of Burnley, who are absolutely going to get relegated.
Our pick, though? That would be Tottenham Hotspur’s manager Thomas Frank.
Tottenham is once again near the bottom-middle of the pack. They have already been eliminated from both of their domestic cup brackets. The pressure to close the second half strong is immeasurable. And if they bow out with a whimper, as we frankly expect them to do, Frank will pay the price—even though he was only hired last summer.
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